Page 48 - Beaumont Basin Watermaster
P. 48

Beaumont Basin Watermaster
               2013 Reevaluation of the Beaumont Basin Safe Yield                                                                                 3-Apr-15

               7.0  Summary of Findings and Recommendations


               A calibrated numerical groundwater flow model of the Beaumont Basin has been updated and
               refined based on previous work by the USGS.  The updated and refined model is calibrated to
               industry standards and is a valuable tool for evaluating both the historical water balance of the
               Beaumont Basin and future water balance based on projections of groundwater production and
               artificial  recharge.    Analysis  of  the  Beaumont  Basin  historical  water  budget  from  the
               groundwater flow model has resulted in the following findings:



                         Between  1972  and  2012  (40-year  history),  the  annualized  Safe  Yield  ranged  from
                          approximately  3,500  to  8,100  acre-ft/yr  with  a  40-yr  average  Safe  Yield  of
                          5,424 acre-ft/yr.
                         Prior to 2000, year-to-year variations in Safe Yield were due primarily to changes in
                          groundwater  pumping  within  the  Beaumont  Basin.    Years  of  higher  groundwater
                          pumping generally resulted in the increased capture of groundwater that would have
                          otherwise migrated out of the basin, resulting in a higher Safe Yield.
                         After  2000,  increases  in  groundwater  pumping  in  the  Banning  area  outside  the
                          Beaumont Basin as well as the introduction of artificial recharge within and outside
                          the basin began to influence the Safe Yield.   Although direct correlations between
                          groundwater pumping and Safe Yield were not possible between 2000 and 2012, the
                          combination  of  basin  management  factors  resulted  in  a  Safe  Yield  increase  from
                          5,123 acre-ft in 2000 to 5,881 acre-ft in 2012.
                         Because of recent rapid changes in land use, artificial recharge and pumping in the
                          Beaumont Basin, estimates of Safe Yield based on the historical water balance are not
                          representative of the future Safe Yield of the basin.
                         Analysis of the Safe Yield of the Beaumont Basin using the groundwater flow model
                          and based on future projections of artificial recharge and pumping shows that the Safe
                          Yield can be increased through basin management.
                         Analysis  of  a  future  basin  management  projection  scenario  using  the  groundwater
                          flow model resulted in a Safe Yield estimate of approximately 6,700 acre-ft/yr.
                         It  appears  from  the  analysis  of  future  basin  management  projection  scenarios  that
                          maximum levels of artificial recharge within the basin have the potential to result in
                          greater subsurface outflow from the basin unless groundwater production is increased
                          to limit the outflow.









                                                             40
   43   44   45   46   47   48   49   50   51   52   53