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Macro- and Micro-                   “If you live or work in retrofitted structures,” FEMA
                                                        determined, “you’re less likely to be injured during an
                     Economic Impacts                   earthquake. After the earthquake, you’re also more likely
                                                        to have a home and a job to which you can quickly return.
                                                        Businesses that use retrofitted buildings are more likely to
                     Apart from the loss of life and
                                                        survive damaging earthquakes and to sustain shorter
                     limb, the impacts of a major                                                     xv
                                                        business interruptions and fewer inventory losses.”
                     earthquake can strike on many
                     levels.
                                                        ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF DISASTER
                     Macro-economic Impacts:
                      •   Widespread destruction of     The year 2011 experienced the highest economic losses
                          neighborhoods and             due to earthquakes on record. According to the Center for
                          infrastructure                Disaster Management and Risk Reduction, more than
                      •   Disruption of public services  20,000 people died and about a million people lost their
                      •   Business disruption and loss  homes due to earthquakes that year.
                      •   Widespread homelessness
                          and unemployment              Most significant were the earthquakes in Christchurch,
                      •   Economic turmoil              New Zealand; and Tohuku, Japan; with more than 1 million
                      •   Reconstruction costs
                                                                                       xvi
                                                        buildings damaged in Japan alone.
                     Micro-economic Impacts:            Protecting life and limb is the primary objective in any
                      •   Damage/destruction to         threatening situation. But once the shaking and damage is
                          homes and businesses
                      •   Loss of employment            over, what happens then? Some of the most challenging
                      •   Homelessness                  aspects of recovery are the displacement of residents and
                      •   Demolition and                businesses, the loss of affordable housing stock,
                          reconstruction costs          widespread business disruption, unemployment and
                      •   Bankruptcy                    damage to uninsured homes and other structures.


                                                        Widespread Business Disruption

               Apart from the social chaos that can come from any disaster, one major issue is the disruption of jobs
               and economic activity following a major earthquake. People without homes have a harder time
               reporting for work and that can hamper business activity. Deliveries from vendors may be shut off for
               weeks or even longer as a result of damaged buildings and infrastructure. All this has the potential to
               lead to a distressed workforce, reluctant consumer climate and a downward spiraling economic cycle.

               The potential impacts on small business is particularly troublesome, when considering that many of
               these enterprises occupy the very buildings that are at risk of failure during an earthquake.

               Small businesses employ 56.8 million people representing 48 percent of the U.S. workforce, the Small
                                                     xvii
               Business Administration reported in 2016.  In short, they constitute much of the economic health of
               local communities, states and the nation. A disruption in the ability to do business   – even for a short
               while – can quickly lead to serious financial consequences, even bankruptcy. This in turn, exacerbates
               the problem with an increase in unemployment and residual impacts on other businesses and vendors.








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                                        Yucaipa Valley Water District - March 8, 2018 - Page 12 of 40
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